Los Angeles Rams at Las Vegas Raiders
2026-10-25 · 3:25 PM CT · Scheduled
ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. 2026 season totals at this snapshot.
| Measure | Los Angeles Rams | Las Vegas Raiders |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-2 | 3-1 |
| Points scored / game | 21.2 | 28.8 |
| Points allowed / game | 20.8 | 21.0 |
| Points differential | +2 | +31 |
| Home record | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Road record | 1-1 | 2-0 |
How this game can be won
Los Angeles Rams average 21.2 points scored and 20.8 allowed; Las Vegas Raiders average 28.8 scored and 21.0 allowed. The first question is whether each offense can make ordinary downs useful. Repeated manageable gains keep more of the playbook available.
Watch the long gains separately. An offense can move steadily without breaking a big play, or spend an afternoon waiting for one big play to rescue it. The more repeatable approach is the one that can still move the ball when the defense removes its easiest option.
Field position changes the job. Starting near midfield means fewer yards are needed before a scoring chance. Once the drive reaches threatening territory, watch whether the offense finishes it with useful points instead of wasting the trip.
Finally, count the lost possessions. Turnovers can change a close game without explaining every down that came before them. Our football model needs efficiency, explosive-play rate, starting field position, drive finishing and turnover margin together. A scoring average or a third-down rate cannot replace that set.
Closer to game day
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Los Angeles Rams · our 2026-10-06 assessment
Rams | 2-2
Read the table as text
| Season evidence | Rams | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Plays keeping pace | 49.6% | 38.0% |
| Long gains | 27 | 13 |
| Points / threatening drives | 85 / 24 | 76 / 20 |
| Defensive takeaways | 3 | 8 |
| Special-teams recoveries | 0 | 0 |
The Rams have two competing season habits. They repeatedly make opponents struggle to maintain progress, allowing useful gains on only 38.0 percent of plays and just 13 long gains. They also give the ball away twice every week. Eight giveaways against three defensive takeaways have made their own strong stretches harder to trust. Their offense has moved well over the whole season, but 85 points from 24 threatening drives shows how often promising territory has produced too little.
Sean McVay said “our defense kept giving us a reason to believe”. Holding Philadelphia without a third-down conversion in 12 attempts backs that up. So does an offense completing late touchdown drives of 98 and 79 yards rather than waiting for a takeaway. Sunday's 24-20 comeback was also aided by Philadelphia's failed fourth down and a penalty on the long march. The win demonstrates that Los Angeles can finish. The identical weekly giveaway count demonstrates that it keeps volunteering to make finishing harder.
After opponent punts or failed fourth downs, Rams possessions have begun at their own 22.4, on average, across 21 competitive drives. The weekly average has varied widely, from their own 20.2 to their own 43.0. The latest game averaged their own 22.9. The resulting possession started at midfield or closer to the end zone in 1 of those 21 cases. These are actual starting spots, including punt returns, rather than a measure of the defense alone. The return unit has added 101 punt-return yards over the season. Pre-snap changes before the first run or pass affected 2 of these drives; those changes are excluded from the listed starting spots. Starts following turnovers are counted separately: 3 competitive possessions at their own 38.3 on average.
Las Vegas Raiders · our 2026-10-06 assessment
Raiders | 3-1
Read the table as text
| Season evidence | Raiders | Opponents |
|---|---|---|
| Plays keeping pace | 42.8% | 44.4% |
| Long gains | 21 | 23 |
| Points / threatening drives | 110 / 25 | 84 / 18 |
| Defensive takeaways | 9 | 4 |
| Special-teams recoveries | 0 | 2 |
Las Vegas's early success leaned heavily on extra possessions. It took the ball away two, three and four times in its first three games, then not at all in the 30-27 loss to Kansas City. All nine season takeaways were defensive. The offense has given it away six times, including two special-teams mistakes, so even the favorable overall exchange contains avoidable waste. Its regular offensive movement improved Sunday, but season opponents have still stayed on schedule more often than the Raiders.
Klint Kubiak said “We've got to find that answer”. The latest 72 rushing yards at 2.8 per carry show why he was discussing the run game. Eight long gains helped Las Vegas remain competitive, yet seven threatening possessions produced only 27 points. A kickoff fumble after Kansas City went ahead made the next task much harder. That was not the Chiefs' defense stripping the Raiders' offense. The 3-1 start is real; Sunday showed how the team looks when the takeaways stop arriving and the kicking unit adds a problem.
After opponent punts or failed fourth downs, Raiders possessions have begun at their own 24.2, on average, across 19 competitive drives. The weekly average has varied widely, from their own 16.7 to their own 28.8. The latest game averaged their own 16.7. The resulting possession started at midfield or closer to the end zone in 1 of those 19 cases. These are actual starting spots, including punt returns, rather than a measure of the defense alone. The return unit has added 68 punt-return yards over the season. Starts following turnovers are counted separately: 7 competitive possessions at their opponent 40.0 on average.
Our coverage of these teams
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