2026-10-13 · Time TBD · Scheduled · WNBA Semifinals - Game 5 If Necessary
New York Liberty26-18
Atlanta Dream30-14ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. MLB and WNBA comparisons use regular-season totals, separate from playoff results.
New York Liberty2026 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 89.6 | 5 / 15 |
| Rebounds / game | 35.5 | 3 / 15 |
| Assists / game | 20.8 | 7 / 15 |
| Turnovers / game | 13.7 | 9 / 15 |
| Steals / game | 6.1 | 14 / 15 |
| Blocks / game | 4.2 | 7 / 15 |
| FG% | 46.0% | 6 / 15 |
| 3PT% | 34.8% | 4 / 15 |
| FT% | 84.5% | 1 / 15 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 4 / 15 |
| Turnover rate | 15.2% | 10 / 15 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.307 | 7 / 15 |
Atlanta Dream2026 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 91.3 | 3 / 15 |
| Rebounds / game | 35.6 | 2 / 15 |
| Assists / game | 21.5 | 6 / 15 |
| Turnovers / game | 12.6 | 4 / 15 |
| Steals / game | 9.1 | 1 / 15 |
| Blocks / game | 3.3 | 14 / 15 |
| FG% | 44.3% | 11 / 15 |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 11 / 15 |
| FT% | 78.6% | 10 / 15 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 50.5% | 8 / 15 |
| Turnover rate | 13.3% | 3 / 15 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.341 | 3 / 15 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. WNBA season averages and ranks use the 2026 regular season; playoff game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
New York Liberty and Atlanta Dream enter with scoring averages of 89.6 and 91.3. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 53.6% eFG for New York Liberty and 50.5% for Atlanta Dream. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. New York Liberty turn it over on an estimated 15.2% of plays; Atlanta Dream are at 13.3%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
