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WNBA · MATCHUP PREVIEW

Las Vegas Aces at Golden State Valkyries

2026-10-13 · Time TBD · Scheduled · WNBA Semifinals - Game 5 If Necessary

ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. MLB and WNBA comparisons use regular-season totals, separate from playoff results.

The team numbers

Las Vegas Aces

2026 regular season

MeasureSeason averageLeague rank
STANDARD STATS
Points / game91.52 / 15
Rebounds / game33.47 / 15
Assists / game22.02 / 15
Turnovers / game12.03 / 15
Steals / game7.29 / 15
Blocks / game4.91 / 15
FG%48.6%2 / 15
3PT%36.2%3 / 15
FT%81.4%3 / 15
THE LAB MEASURES
eFG%55.0%2 / 15
Turnover rate13.4%4 / 15
Offensive rebound rate——
Free-throw pressure0.2939 / 15

Golden State Valkyries

2026 regular season

MeasureSeason averageLeague rank
STANDARD STATS
Points / game82.214 / 15
Rebounds / game33.39 / 15
Assists / game19.313 / 15
Turnovers / game10.41 / 15
Steals / game7.84 / 15
Blocks / game4.08 / 15
FG%42.2%15 / 15
3PT%34.4%6 / 15
FT%77.4%12 / 15
THE LAB MEASURES
eFG%49.9%12 / 15
Turnover rate12.0%1 / 15
Offensive rebound rate——
Free-throw pressure0.27112 / 15

ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. WNBA season averages and ranks use the 2026 regular season; playoff game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.

How we read the Lab measures

eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.

THE LAB READ

How this game can be won

Las Vegas Aces and Golden State Valkyries enter with scoring averages of 91.5 and 82.2. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.

The shooting comparison is 55.0% eFG for Las Vegas Aces and 49.9% for Golden State Valkyries. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.

Ball security is the next pressure point. Las Vegas Aces turn it over on an estimated 13.4% of plays; Golden State Valkyries are at 12.0%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.

After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.

MATCHUP OUTLOOK

Closer to game day

Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.

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