2026-10-23 · 6:00 PM CT · Regular season
Toronto Raptors46-36
Washington Wizards17-65ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Toronto Raptors2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.6 | 21 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.1 | 24 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 29.5 | 3 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 12.9 | 6 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.8 | 11 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.8 | 15 / 30 |
| FG% | 48.2% | 7 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 21 / 30 |
| FT% | 76.9% | 22 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 16 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 11.5% | 8 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.265 | 16 / 30 |
Washington Wizards2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 112.9 | 25 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 41.9 | 26 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.0 | 25 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 15.1 | 29 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.0 | 21 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.5 | 5 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.3% | 22 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 16 / 30 |
| FT% | 76.6% | 23 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 21 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 13.2% | 26 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.235 | 26 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Toronto Raptors and Washington Wizards enter with scoring averages of 114.6 and 112.9. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 54.6% eFG for Toronto Raptors and 53.5% for Washington Wizards. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Toronto Raptors turn it over on an estimated 11.5% of plays; Washington Wizards are at 13.2%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 46-36 | 5th in the East | Lost in First Round
2025-26 efficiency 115.0 offense | 112.1 defense | +2.9 net per 100 possessions
Toronto finished fifth at 46-36 and pushed Cleveland to seven games in the first round. Its defense allowed 112.1 points per 100 possessions, while transition play supplied an important offensive advantage. The Raptors led the league in fast-break scoring, but their half-court possessions could deteriorate once an opponent removed the easy running opportunities.
Bobby Webster brought Kawhi Leonard back in the trade that sent Brandon Ingram and Gradey Dick to the Clippers. Leonard supplies the obvious missing skill, an established scorer who can find a useful shot late in the clock. Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett and Collin Murray-Boyles provide a supporting group with size and defensive versatility. Kyle Anderson adds another experienced connective player.
The concern is how often the intended lineup will be available and how well it spaces the floor. Leonard's postseason availability has been inconsistent, and Jakob Poeltl's back remains important to the center rotation. Replacing Ingram with Leonard raises the ceiling without guaranteeing a full season of that improvement. Management has bought a late-clock answer, but not an effortless shooting environment. Barnes and the guards still need to punish defenders who collapse into the lane.
Projected finish is sixth in the East. The defensive baseline makes Toronto a credible direct-playoff team, with a better playoff ceiling when Leonard is healthy. We discount the regular-season forecast for availability and limited shooting. The Raptors should be harder to eliminate than last year without necessarily climbing several places in a much stronger conference.
Last season 17-65 | 15th in the East | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 109.7 offense | 121.5 defense | -11.8 net per 100 possessions
Washington finished last in the East at 17-65 with a minus-11.8 net rating. The team allowed 121.5 points per 100 possessions, so a more entertaining offense will not be enough by itself. Much of the season was developmental, and the veterans acquired during it barely contributed to those final numbers.
Michael Winger and Will Dawkins now have Trae Young and Anthony Davis together after last season's trades. Young played only five games for Washington and Davis none. The Wizards added first pick AJ Dybantsa, Deandre Ayton and Khris Middleton, while Alex Sarr, Kyshawn George and the young perimeter group continue developing. The available roster is materially stronger than the one responsible for most of the 65 losses.
The unresolved concern is whether the lineup balances development with a practical defensive plan. Davis and Sarr can change the interior, but several possible combinations compress the paint and demand disciplined perimeter coverage. Young needs players who can finish the opportunities he creates and protect him on the other end. Management added established names without making the minutes distribution obvious. Veteran health also determines how much the youngsters are being asked to solve.
Projected finish is 12th in the East. We credit the large talent change while refusing to treat a collection of veterans as an automatic playoff team. Washington can escape the bottom tier without immediately becoming coherent. The useful evidence will be a lower defensive rating, a defined role for Dybantsa and lineups that make Young's creation easier to convert.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
