2026-10-25 · 6:00 PM CT · Regular season
Toronto Raptors46-36ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Toronto Raptors2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.6 | 21 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.1 | 24 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 29.5 | 3 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 12.9 | 6 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.8 | 11 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.8 | 15 / 30 |
| FG% | 48.2% | 7 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 21 / 30 |
| FT% | 76.9% | 22 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 16 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 11.5% | 8 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.265 | 16 / 30 |
Minnesota Timberwolves2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 118.0 | 7 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 44.1 | 13 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 26.1 | 16 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 14.1 | 19 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.7 | 12 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.8 | 2 / 30 |
| FG% | 48.1% | 9 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 6 / 30 |
| FT% | 75.2% | 29 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 55.9% | 6 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.4% | 18 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.285 | 7 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Toronto Raptors and Minnesota Timberwolves enter with scoring averages of 114.6 and 118.0. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 54.6% eFG for Toronto Raptors and 55.9% for Minnesota Timberwolves. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Toronto Raptors turn it over on an estimated 11.5% of plays; Minnesota Timberwolves are at 12.4%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 46-36 | 5th in the East | Lost in First Round
2025-26 efficiency 115.0 offense | 112.1 defense | +2.9 net per 100 possessions
Toronto finished fifth at 46-36 and pushed Cleveland to seven games in the first round. Its defense allowed 112.1 points per 100 possessions, while transition play supplied an important offensive advantage. The Raptors led the league in fast-break scoring, but their half-court possessions could deteriorate once an opponent removed the easy running opportunities.
Bobby Webster brought Kawhi Leonard back in the trade that sent Brandon Ingram and Gradey Dick to the Clippers. Leonard supplies the obvious missing skill, an established scorer who can find a useful shot late in the clock. Scottie Barnes, RJ Barrett and Collin Murray-Boyles provide a supporting group with size and defensive versatility. Kyle Anderson adds another experienced connective player.
The concern is how often the intended lineup will be available and how well it spaces the floor. Leonard's postseason availability has been inconsistent, and Jakob Poeltl's back remains important to the center rotation. Replacing Ingram with Leonard raises the ceiling without guaranteeing a full season of that improvement. Management has bought a late-clock answer, but not an effortless shooting environment. Barnes and the guards still need to punish defenders who collapse into the lane.
Projected finish is sixth in the East. The defensive baseline makes Toronto a credible direct-playoff team, with a better playoff ceiling when Leonard is healthy. We discount the regular-season forecast for availability and limited shooting. The Raptors should be harder to eliminate than last year without necessarily climbing several places in a much stronger conference.
Last season 49-33 | 6th in the West | Conference semifinals loss to San Antonio, 4-2
2025-26 efficiency 115.6 offense | 112.5 defense | +3.1 net per 100 possessions
Minnesota finished sixth at 49-33, eliminated Denver and lost to San Antonio in six games. Its eighth-ranked defense was a more established advantage than its 13th-ranked offense. Anthony Edwards could produce difficult baskets, but the roster needed another creator who could give him more possessions that began with an advantage.
Tim Connelly acquired LaMelo Ball and Jonathan Kuminga while moving Julius Randle, Naz Reid and Mike Conley. Ball can initiate the offense and find Edwards away from the ball. That matters because Edwards made 49.6 percent of his catch-and-shoot threes last season, although the sample was 139 attempts. Kuminga supplies athleticism at forward and an opportunity to build a more defined role.
The concern is what Minnesota traded away from the frontcourt. Randle supplied regular-season scoring and Reid supplied flexible big-man minutes. Rudy Gobert remains essential to the paint defense, and the new roster has less room for him to miss time or lose effectiveness. Ball's availability and defensive fit also matter. Connelly improved creation, but left the replacement of dependable size partly to development and smaller combinations.
Projected finish is fifth in the West. We credit the new offensive partnership while leaving room for the fit to settle. Minnesota has a higher playoff ceiling than that place might suggest if Ball stays available and Edwards gets easier shots. The regular-season projection is more cautious because thinner frontcourt depth can cost ordinary games long before the best lineup is ready.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
