ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
The team numbers
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|
| STANDARD STATS |
|---|
| Points / game | 111.0 | 28 / 30 |
|---|
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 22 / 30 |
|---|
| Assists / game | 25.5 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnovers / game | 13.7 | 15 / 30 |
|---|
| Steals / game | 8.0 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| Blocks / game | 4.5 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 18 / 30 |
|---|
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29 / 30 |
|---|
| FT% | 77.2% | 21 / 30 |
|---|
| THE LAB MEASURES |
|---|
| eFG% | 52.5% | 29 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnover rate | 12.2% | 15 / 30 |
|---|
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
|---|
| Free-throw pressure | 0.256 | 19 / 30 |
|---|
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|
| STANDARD STATS |
|---|
| Points / game | 114.6 | 22 / 30 |
|---|
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 21 / 30 |
|---|
| Assists / game | 28.9 | 6 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnovers / game | 15.0 | 26 / 30 |
|---|
| Steals / game | 9.7 | 2 / 30 |
|---|
| Blocks / game | 4.2 | 26 / 30 |
|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 24 / 30 |
|---|
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| FT% | 80.7% | 6 / 30 |
|---|
| THE LAB MEASURES |
|---|
| eFG% | 54.9% | 13 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnover rate | 13.3% | 27 / 30 |
|---|
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
|---|
| Free-throw pressure | 0.238 | 24 / 30 |
|---|
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
How we read the Lab measures
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
THE LAB READHow this game can be won
This is preseason. Use the team numbers as background and watch how the new lineups play together. No spread or Lab win probability is published for this game.
Sacramento Kings · our 2026-10-03 assessment
Sacramento Kings
Last season 22-60 | 14th in the West | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 110.6 offense | 120.3 defense | -9.7 net per 100 possessions
Sacramento finished 14th at 22-60 and missed the postseason. Its minus-9.7 net rating came from a 26th-ranked offense and a 28th-ranked defense. Injuries mattered, with Domantas Sabonis playing only 19 games and Keegan Murray only 23. Even allowing for those absences, the roster did not establish a convincing plan for stopping anyone.
Scott Perry drafted Darius Acuff Jr., moved on from DeMar DeRozan and added Ben Simmons. Acuff gives the backcourt a young scorer and creator to develop, while Alex Karaban and Emanuel Sharp add more youth. Sabonis, Murray and Zach LaVine returning to better health would make the team more functional than the version that finished last season.
The unfinished business is roster direction. Sabonis needs shooting and reliable perimeter defense around him. Acuff needs room to learn with the ball. LaVine needs a defined scoring role, and Simmons adds another player opponents can leave unattended away from the rim. Those needs do not automatically fit together. Perry has begun a reset, but has not assembled an obvious defensive identity or resolved how the veterans support the new backcourt.
Projected finish is 15th in the West. Better availability can improve the record while leaving Sacramento last in a stronger conference. The forecast is driven by the defensive deficit and uncertain fit, rather than an assumption that Acuff cannot play. Management needs to make the development priorities clear before every lineup becomes a negotiation between rebuilding and preserving yesterday's investment.
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Golden State Warriors · our 2026-10-03 assessment
Golden State Warriors
Last season 37-45 | 10th in the West | Play-In exit, missed playoffs
2025-26 efficiency 113.8 offense | 114.4 defense | -0.5 net per 100 possessions
Golden State finished tenth at 37-45 and lost in the Play-In. Its minus-0.5 net rating showed a team close to average, but not close to the West's top tier. Injuries reduced Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's shared contribution, leaving too many nights when the offense lacked enough reliable creation beyond Curry.
Mike Dunleavy Jr. retained the veteran core, drafted Yaxel Lendeborg and added Georges Niang. Lendeborg supplies size and energy, while Niang can stretch a defense. Brandin Podziemski's stronger finish last season gives the returning guards a plausible improvement path. But Kristaps Porzingis entered camp out indefinitely with a health issue, while Butler and Moses Moody continue knee rehabilitation.
The concern is availability concentrated in the very players expected to lift the ceiling. A healthy Porzingis changes spacing and rim protection. A healthy Butler supplies another creator and foul pressure. Management has not built a similarly dependable alternative if those contributions arrive late or remain intermittent. Lendeborg can help immediately, but a rookie should not be the primary insurance policy for an aging team's largest risks.
Projected finish is tenth in the West. Curry keeps Golden State competitive, and the later-season roster could be stronger than its place. We still discount a forecast that requires everyone to be healthy together for the first time. The Warriors need enough early wins to make a better spring lineup relevant, rather than another explanation for why it arrived too late.
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Our coverage of these teams
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
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