2026-10-23 · 9:00 PM CT · Regular season
Sacramento Kings22-60ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Portland Trail Blazers2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 115.5 | 17 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 46.0 | 6 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.1 | 23 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 16.5 | 30 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.3 | 18 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.5 | 7 / 30 |
| FG% | 45.3% | 29 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28 / 30 |
| FT% | 76.5% | 24 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 22 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 14.0% | 30 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.280 | 9 / 30 |
Sacramento Kings2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 111.0 | 28 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 22 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.5 | 20 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 13.7 | 15 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.0 | 20 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.5 | 20 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.7% | 18 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29 / 30 |
| FT% | 77.2% | 21 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 29 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.2% | 15 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.256 | 19 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Portland Trail Blazers and Sacramento Kings enter with scoring averages of 115.5 and 111.0. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 53.4% eFG for Portland Trail Blazers and 52.5% for Sacramento Kings. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Portland Trail Blazers turn it over on an estimated 14.0% of plays; Sacramento Kings are at 12.2%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 42-40 | 8th in the West | Play-In qualifier, first-round loss to Spurs, 4-1
2025-26 efficiency 113.1 offense | 113.5 defense | -0.4 net per 100 possessions
Portland finished eighth at 42-40 and returned to the playoffs, then lost to San Antonio in five games. The offense ranked 21st despite exceptional second-chance production. A league-high 16.9 turnovers per 100 possessions wasted too many opportunities before Donovan Clingan could create another one. The winning record showed progress, but the initial offense remained a repair job.
Joe Cronin added Ja Morant and Jeremy Sochan, while Damian Lillard returns from his Achilles injury. Micah Nori takes over as head coach. The new guards can create advantages that last year's roster struggled to find, but Deni Avdija also earned a central offensive role. Jrue Holiday, Toumani Camara and Clingan supply the foundation for defending the resulting combinations.
The front office added talent without settling the hierarchy. Lillard's recovery and Morant's ability to play effectively alongside another ball handler remain important uncertainties. Nori needs lineups that preserve Avdija's strengths and enough defense to support whichever guards finish games. More creators do not automatically mean fewer turnovers. Management has handed the coach options, along with a complicated distribution of touches and assignments.
Projected finish is ninth in the West. We expect better first-shot offense, offset by integration and availability concerns. Portland can outperform that forecast if Morant and Lillard supply efficient creation without weakening the defensive structure. The first test is considerably simpler than a playoff series. Can this roster stop giving away possessions it has the talent to use?
Last season 22-60 | 14th in the West | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 110.6 offense | 120.3 defense | -9.7 net per 100 possessions
Sacramento finished 14th at 22-60 and missed the postseason. Its minus-9.7 net rating came from a 26th-ranked offense and a 28th-ranked defense. Injuries mattered, with Domantas Sabonis playing only 19 games and Keegan Murray only 23. Even allowing for those absences, the roster did not establish a convincing plan for stopping anyone.
Scott Perry drafted Darius Acuff Jr., moved on from DeMar DeRozan and added Ben Simmons. Acuff gives the backcourt a young scorer and creator to develop, while Alex Karaban and Emanuel Sharp add more youth. Sabonis, Murray and Zach LaVine returning to better health would make the team more functional than the version that finished last season.
The unfinished business is roster direction. Sabonis needs shooting and reliable perimeter defense around him. Acuff needs room to learn with the ball. LaVine needs a defined scoring role, and Simmons adds another player opponents can leave unattended away from the rim. Those needs do not automatically fit together. Perry has begun a reset, but has not assembled an obvious defensive identity or resolved how the veterans support the new backcourt.
Projected finish is 15th in the West. Better availability can improve the record while leaving Sacramento last in a stronger conference. The forecast is driven by the defensive deficit and uncertain fit, rather than an assumption that Acuff cannot play. Management needs to make the development priorities clear before every lineup becomes a negotiation between rebuilding and preserving yesterday's investment.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
