ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
The team numbers
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|
| STANDARD STATS |
|---|
| Points / game | 115.5 | 17 / 30 |
|---|
| Rebounds / game | 46.0 | 6 / 30 |
|---|
| Assists / game | 25.1 | 23 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnovers / game | 16.5 | 30 / 30 |
|---|
| Steals / game | 8.3 | 18 / 30 |
|---|
| Blocks / game | 5.5 | 7 / 30 |
|---|
| FG% | 45.3% | 29 / 30 |
|---|
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28 / 30 |
|---|
| FT% | 76.5% | 24 / 30 |
|---|
| THE LAB MEASURES |
|---|
| eFG% | 53.4% | 22 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnover rate | 14.0% | 30 / 30 |
|---|
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
|---|
| Free-throw pressure | 0.280 | 9 / 30 |
|---|
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|
| STANDARD STATS |
|---|
| Points / game | 111.0 | 28 / 30 |
|---|
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 22 / 30 |
|---|
| Assists / game | 25.5 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnovers / game | 13.7 | 15 / 30 |
|---|
| Steals / game | 8.0 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| Blocks / game | 4.5 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| FG% | 46.7% | 18 / 30 |
|---|
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29 / 30 |
|---|
| FT% | 77.2% | 21 / 30 |
|---|
| THE LAB MEASURES |
|---|
| eFG% | 52.5% | 29 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnover rate | 12.2% | 15 / 30 |
|---|
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
|---|
| Free-throw pressure | 0.256 | 19 / 30 |
|---|
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
How we read the Lab measures
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
THE LAB READHow this game can be won
This is preseason. Use the team numbers as background and watch how the new lineups play together. No spread or Lab win probability is published for this game.
Portland Trail Blazers · our 2026-10-03 assessment
Portland Trail Blazers
Last season 42-40 | 8th in the West | Play-In qualifier, first-round loss to Spurs, 4-1
2025-26 efficiency 113.1 offense | 113.5 defense | -0.4 net per 100 possessions
Portland finished eighth at 42-40 and returned to the playoffs, then lost to San Antonio in five games. The offense ranked 21st despite exceptional second-chance production. A league-high 16.9 turnovers per 100 possessions wasted too many opportunities before Donovan Clingan could create another one. The winning record showed progress, but the initial offense remained a repair job.
Joe Cronin added Ja Morant and Jeremy Sochan, while Damian Lillard returns from his Achilles injury. Micah Nori takes over as head coach. The new guards can create advantages that last year's roster struggled to find, but Deni Avdija also earned a central offensive role. Jrue Holiday, Toumani Camara and Clingan supply the foundation for defending the resulting combinations.
The front office added talent without settling the hierarchy. Lillard's recovery and Morant's ability to play effectively alongside another ball handler remain important uncertainties. Nori needs lineups that preserve Avdija's strengths and enough defense to support whichever guards finish games. More creators do not automatically mean fewer turnovers. Management has handed the coach options, along with a complicated distribution of touches and assignments.
Projected finish is ninth in the West. We expect better first-shot offense, offset by integration and availability concerns. Portland can outperform that forecast if Morant and Lillard supply efficient creation without weakening the defensive structure. The first test is considerably simpler than a playoff series. Can this roster stop giving away possessions it has the talent to use?
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Sacramento Kings · our 2026-10-03 assessment
Sacramento Kings
Last season 22-60 | 14th in the West | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 110.6 offense | 120.3 defense | -9.7 net per 100 possessions
Sacramento finished 14th at 22-60 and missed the postseason. Its minus-9.7 net rating came from a 26th-ranked offense and a 28th-ranked defense. Injuries mattered, with Domantas Sabonis playing only 19 games and Keegan Murray only 23. Even allowing for those absences, the roster did not establish a convincing plan for stopping anyone.
Scott Perry drafted Darius Acuff Jr., moved on from DeMar DeRozan and added Ben Simmons. Acuff gives the backcourt a young scorer and creator to develop, while Alex Karaban and Emanuel Sharp add more youth. Sabonis, Murray and Zach LaVine returning to better health would make the team more functional than the version that finished last season.
The unfinished business is roster direction. Sabonis needs shooting and reliable perimeter defense around him. Acuff needs room to learn with the ball. LaVine needs a defined scoring role, and Simmons adds another player opponents can leave unattended away from the rim. Those needs do not automatically fit together. Perry has begun a reset, but has not assembled an obvious defensive identity or resolved how the veterans support the new backcourt.
Projected finish is 15th in the West. Better availability can improve the record while leaving Sacramento last in a stronger conference. The forecast is driven by the defensive deficit and uncertain fit, rather than an assumption that Acuff cannot play. Management needs to make the development priorities clear before every lineup becomes a negotiation between rebuilding and preserving yesterday's investment.
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