2026-10-16 · 9:00 PM CT · Preseason
ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Portland Trail Blazers2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 115.5 | 17 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 46.0 | 6 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.1 | 23 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 16.5 | 30 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.3 | 18 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.5 | 7 / 30 |
| FG% | 45.3% | 29 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 28 / 30 |
| FT% | 76.5% | 24 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.4% | 22 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 14.0% | 30 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.280 | 9 / 30 |
Golden State Warriors2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.6 | 22 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 21 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 28.9 | 6 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 15.0 | 26 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 9.7 | 2 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.2 | 26 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.1% | 24 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 20 / 30 |
| FT% | 80.7% | 6 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 13 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 13.3% | 27 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.238 | 24 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
This is preseason. Use the team numbers as background and watch how the new lineups play together. No spread or Lab win probability is published for this game.
Last season 42-40 | 8th in the West | Play-In qualifier, first-round loss to Spurs, 4-1
2025-26 efficiency 113.1 offense | 113.5 defense | -0.4 net per 100 possessions
Portland finished eighth at 42-40 and returned to the playoffs, then lost to San Antonio in five games. The offense ranked 21st despite exceptional second-chance production. A league-high 16.9 turnovers per 100 possessions wasted too many opportunities before Donovan Clingan could create another one. The winning record showed progress, but the initial offense remained a repair job.
Joe Cronin added Ja Morant and Jeremy Sochan, while Damian Lillard returns from his Achilles injury. Micah Nori takes over as head coach. The new guards can create advantages that last year's roster struggled to find, but Deni Avdija also earned a central offensive role. Jrue Holiday, Toumani Camara and Clingan supply the foundation for defending the resulting combinations.
The front office added talent without settling the hierarchy. Lillard's recovery and Morant's ability to play effectively alongside another ball handler remain important uncertainties. Nori needs lineups that preserve Avdija's strengths and enough defense to support whichever guards finish games. More creators do not automatically mean fewer turnovers. Management has handed the coach options, along with a complicated distribution of touches and assignments.
Projected finish is ninth in the West. We expect better first-shot offense, offset by integration and availability concerns. Portland can outperform that forecast if Morant and Lillard supply efficient creation without weakening the defensive structure. The first test is considerably simpler than a playoff series. Can this roster stop giving away possessions it has the talent to use?
Last season 37-45 | 10th in the West | Play-In exit, missed playoffs
2025-26 efficiency 113.8 offense | 114.4 defense | -0.5 net per 100 possessions
Golden State finished tenth at 37-45 and lost in the Play-In. Its minus-0.5 net rating showed a team close to average, but not close to the West's top tier. Injuries reduced Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's shared contribution, leaving too many nights when the offense lacked enough reliable creation beyond Curry.
Mike Dunleavy Jr. retained the veteran core, drafted Yaxel Lendeborg and added Georges Niang. Lendeborg supplies size and energy, while Niang can stretch a defense. Brandin Podziemski's stronger finish last season gives the returning guards a plausible improvement path. But Kristaps Porzingis entered camp out indefinitely with a health issue, while Butler and Moses Moody continue knee rehabilitation.
The concern is availability concentrated in the very players expected to lift the ceiling. A healthy Porzingis changes spacing and rim protection. A healthy Butler supplies another creator and foul pressure. Management has not built a similarly dependable alternative if those contributions arrive late or remain intermittent. Lendeborg can help immediately, but a rookie should not be the primary insurance policy for an aging team's largest risks.
Projected finish is tenth in the West. Curry keeps Golden State competitive, and the later-season roster could be stronger than its place. We still discount a forecast that requires everyone to be healthy together for the first time. The Warriors need enough early wins to make a better spring lineup relevant, rather than another explanation for why it arrived too late.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
