2026-10-24 · 6:30 PM CT · Regular season
Milwaukee Bucks32-50
Philadelphia 76ers45-37ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Milwaukee Bucks2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 110.6 | 29 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 40.7 | 28 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.8 | 18 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 14.5 | 23 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 7.4 | 26 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.0 | 27 / 30 |
| FG% | 47.7% | 12 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 38.7% | 2 / 30 |
| FT% | 73.0% | 30 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 56.5% | 3 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 13.3% | 28 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.223 | 29 / 30 |
Philadelphia 76ers2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 115.9 | 14 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 43.6 | 17 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 24.6 | 29 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 13.0 | 7 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 9.1 | 6 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.7 | 4 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.2% | 23 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 34.9% | 23 / 30 |
| FT% | 80.9% | 4 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 26 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 11.4% | 6 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.275 | 11 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Milwaukee Bucks and Philadelphia 76ers enter with scoring averages of 110.6 and 115.9. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 56.5% eFG for Milwaukee Bucks and 53.0% for Philadelphia 76ers. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Milwaukee Bucks turn it over on an estimated 13.3% of plays; Philadelphia 76ers are at 11.4%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 32-50 | 11th in the East | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 112.2 offense | 118.3 defense | -6.1 net per 100 possessions
Milwaukee finished 11th at 32-50 and missed the postseason. Its minus-6.1 net rating showed that the attempted contender was already well short of that description. Giannis Antetokounmpo's departure changes the objective, but it does not explain away the defensive and possession problems that existed before he left.
Jon Horst's return from Miami includes Tyler Herro, Kel'el Ware, Jaime Jaquez Jr., Kasparas Jakucionis and future draft assets, with Nate Ament also part of the incoming group. Brayden Burries joins through the draft and Taylor Jenkins takes over the bench. Ware provides the most interesting immediate two-way development opportunity, while Herro supplies established scoring.
The concern is whether the veterans and prospects serve a coherent new timeline. Milwaukee devoted very few minutes to first- and second-year players last season, so the development structure now needs to catch up with the roster. Herro can keep the offense respectable without producing a reliable defense. Management has collected useful pieces, but the future pick position remains constrained and no replacement star should be assumed. Jenkins needs enough continuity to establish roles rather than constantly reassign them.
Projected finish is 15th in the East. The departure of the team's best player and an already weak baseline justify a low immediate forecast. A productive season would make Ware and the younger players more dependable and clarify which veterans belong. The front office should be judged on building the next competitive team, not making a rebuilding roster imitate the one it could no longer sustain.
Last season 45-37 | 7th in the East | Lost in conference semifinals
2025-26 efficiency 114.3 offense | 114.4 defense | -0.1 net per 100 possessions
Philadelphia finished seventh at 45-37, beat Boston and lost to New York in the second round. The regular-season net rating was minus-0.1, so the previous team was not a clear contender by sustained efficiency. This summer's roster changes are too significant to carry that baseline forward without a substantial adjustment.
Daryl Morey acquired Jaylen Brown, signed LeBron James and added supporting pieces including Anfernee Simons and Dean Wade. They join Joel Embiid, Tyrese Maxey and VJ Edgecombe. The new team has far more ways to create a shot, and James can help possessions that previously required Maxey or Embiid to solve everything. Simons supplies valuable shooting when the primary scorers attract help.
The remaining problems are availability, role distribution and defense. Embiid played only 96 regular-season games across the last three years, and James turns 42 during the coming season. Brown and Embiid both carried very high playoff usage, so Nick Nurse must establish which possessions belong to whom. Morey assembled star talent, but did not make the backup center situation equally reassuring. Missing stars could turn those apparently small depth questions into nightly requirements.
Projected finish is fourth in the East. We credit the clear talent upgrade while expecting rest, absences and integration to affect the record. Philadelphia's best lineup has a championship-level ceiling. Its place is deliberately more cautious because a regular season measures the lineups available on ordinary nights, not only the one fans hope to see in May.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
