2026-10-25 · 8:00 PM CT · Regular season
Memphis Grizzlies25-57
Sacramento Kings22-60ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Memphis Grizzlies2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.7 | 20 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.1 | 23 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 27.8 | 10 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 14.6 | 24 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.8 | 10 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.8 | 16 / 30 |
| FG% | 45.6% | 27 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 22 / 30 |
| FT% | 79.3% | 9 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 24 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.7% | 22 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.251 | 21 / 30 |
Sacramento Kings2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 111.0 | 28 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 22 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.5 | 20 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 13.7 | 15 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.0 | 20 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.5 | 20 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.7% | 18 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 34.0% | 29 / 30 |
| FT% | 77.2% | 21 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 29 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.2% | 15 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.256 | 19 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Memphis Grizzlies and Sacramento Kings enter with scoring averages of 114.7 and 111.0. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 53.3% eFG for Memphis Grizzlies and 52.5% for Sacramento Kings. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Memphis Grizzlies turn it over on an estimated 12.7% of plays; Sacramento Kings are at 12.2%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 25-57 | 13th in the West | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 112.4 offense | 118.4 defense | -6.0 net per 100 possessions
Memphis finished 13th at 25-57 with a minus-6.0 net rating. Its old core had already begun to dissolve when Jaren Jackson Jr. moved to Utah during the season. Ja Morant's summer trade to Portland makes the change of direction unmistakable. The next successful Grizzlies team will need to establish its own strengths.
Zach Kleiman drafted Cameron Boozer and added Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart and Quinten Post among the roster changes. Boozer provides the potential centerpiece, with Cedric Coward coming off an encouraging rookie season. Stewart supplies toughness and frontcourt support. Zach Edey's availability is important because his size can give the young lineup a concrete advantage rather than only future promise.
The concern is how the frontcourt functions together and who consistently starts the offense. A collection of big players can rebound well without defending effectively in space. Ty Jerome's productive scoring came in a small sample last season, so it should not be treated as established full-season starter production. Kleiman has made the timeline clearer, but the young players still need dependable guard play and a more stable defensive structure.
Projected finish is 13th in the West. Boozer's skill and the frontcourt additions should keep Memphis from being an automatic win for opponents. We remain cautious about an immediate Play-In leap after a 27th-ranked defense. The productive version of this season would identify sustainable combinations and give Boozer a team to grow within, rather than asking a rookie to become the entire operating system.
Last season 22-60 | 14th in the West | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 110.6 offense | 120.3 defense | -9.7 net per 100 possessions
Sacramento finished 14th at 22-60 and missed the postseason. Its minus-9.7 net rating came from a 26th-ranked offense and a 28th-ranked defense. Injuries mattered, with Domantas Sabonis playing only 19 games and Keegan Murray only 23. Even allowing for those absences, the roster did not establish a convincing plan for stopping anyone.
Scott Perry drafted Darius Acuff Jr., moved on from DeMar DeRozan and added Ben Simmons. Acuff gives the backcourt a young scorer and creator to develop, while Alex Karaban and Emanuel Sharp add more youth. Sabonis, Murray and Zach LaVine returning to better health would make the team more functional than the version that finished last season.
The unfinished business is roster direction. Sabonis needs shooting and reliable perimeter defense around him. Acuff needs room to learn with the ball. LaVine needs a defined scoring role, and Simmons adds another player opponents can leave unattended away from the rim. Those needs do not automatically fit together. Perry has begun a reset, but has not assembled an obvious defensive identity or resolved how the veterans support the new backcourt.
Projected finish is 15th in the West. Better availability can improve the record while leaving Sacramento last in a stronger conference. The forecast is driven by the defensive deficit and uncertain fit, rather than an assumption that Acuff cannot play. Management needs to make the development priorities clear before every lineup becomes a negotiation between rebuilding and preserving yesterday's investment.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
