2026-10-23 · 9:00 PM CT · Regular season
Memphis Grizzlies25-57ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Memphis Grizzlies2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.7 | 20 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.1 | 23 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 27.8 | 10 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 14.6 | 24 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.8 | 10 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.8 | 16 / 30 |
| FG% | 45.6% | 27 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 22 / 30 |
| FT% | 79.3% | 9 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 24 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.7% | 22 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.251 | 21 / 30 |
Golden State Warriors2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.6 | 22 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 21 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 28.9 | 6 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 15.0 | 26 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 9.7 | 2 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.2 | 26 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.1% | 24 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 20 / 30 |
| FT% | 80.7% | 6 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 13 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 13.3% | 27 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.238 | 24 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Memphis Grizzlies and Golden State Warriors enter with scoring averages of 114.7 and 114.6. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 53.3% eFG for Memphis Grizzlies and 54.9% for Golden State Warriors. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Memphis Grizzlies turn it over on an estimated 12.7% of plays; Golden State Warriors are at 13.3%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 25-57 | 13th in the West | Missed postseason
2025-26 efficiency 112.4 offense | 118.4 defense | -6.0 net per 100 possessions
Memphis finished 13th at 25-57 with a minus-6.0 net rating. Its old core had already begun to dissolve when Jaren Jackson Jr. moved to Utah during the season. Ja Morant's summer trade to Portland makes the change of direction unmistakable. The next successful Grizzlies team will need to establish its own strengths.
Zach Kleiman drafted Cameron Boozer and added Jerami Grant, Isaiah Stewart and Quinten Post among the roster changes. Boozer provides the potential centerpiece, with Cedric Coward coming off an encouraging rookie season. Stewart supplies toughness and frontcourt support. Zach Edey's availability is important because his size can give the young lineup a concrete advantage rather than only future promise.
The concern is how the frontcourt functions together and who consistently starts the offense. A collection of big players can rebound well without defending effectively in space. Ty Jerome's productive scoring came in a small sample last season, so it should not be treated as established full-season starter production. Kleiman has made the timeline clearer, but the young players still need dependable guard play and a more stable defensive structure.
Projected finish is 13th in the West. Boozer's skill and the frontcourt additions should keep Memphis from being an automatic win for opponents. We remain cautious about an immediate Play-In leap after a 27th-ranked defense. The productive version of this season would identify sustainable combinations and give Boozer a team to grow within, rather than asking a rookie to become the entire operating system.
Last season 37-45 | 10th in the West | Play-In exit, missed playoffs
2025-26 efficiency 113.8 offense | 114.4 defense | -0.5 net per 100 possessions
Golden State finished tenth at 37-45 and lost in the Play-In. Its minus-0.5 net rating showed a team close to average, but not close to the West's top tier. Injuries reduced Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's shared contribution, leaving too many nights when the offense lacked enough reliable creation beyond Curry.
Mike Dunleavy Jr. retained the veteran core, drafted Yaxel Lendeborg and added Georges Niang. Lendeborg supplies size and energy, while Niang can stretch a defense. Brandin Podziemski's stronger finish last season gives the returning guards a plausible improvement path. But Kristaps Porzingis entered camp out indefinitely with a health issue, while Butler and Moses Moody continue knee rehabilitation.
The concern is availability concentrated in the very players expected to lift the ceiling. A healthy Porzingis changes spacing and rim protection. A healthy Butler supplies another creator and foul pressure. Management has not built a similarly dependable alternative if those contributions arrive late or remain intermittent. Lendeborg can help immediately, but a rookie should not be the primary insurance policy for an aging team's largest risks.
Projected finish is tenth in the West. Curry keeps Golden State competitive, and the later-season roster could be stronger than its place. We still discount a forecast that requires everyone to be healthy together for the first time. The Warriors need enough early wins to make a better spring lineup relevant, rather than another explanation for why it arrived too late.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
