2026-10-24 · 9:00 PM CT · Regular season
Phoenix Suns45-37ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Golden State Warriors2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.6 | 22 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 42.3 | 21 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 28.9 | 6 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 15.0 | 26 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 9.7 | 2 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.2 | 26 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.1% | 24 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 20 / 30 |
| FT% | 80.7% | 6 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 13 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 13.3% | 27 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.238 | 24 / 30 |
Phoenix Suns2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 112.6 | 26 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 43.1 | 20 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 24.6 | 27 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 13.5 | 12 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 9.5 | 4 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 4.2 | 25 / 30 |
| FG% | 45.5% | 28 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 12 / 30 |
| FT% | 78.1% | 15 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 53.7% | 19 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.0% | 13 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.225 | 28 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
Golden State Warriors and Phoenix Suns enter with scoring averages of 114.6 and 112.6. Start with the kinds of shots they get, not just how many points they score. A clean shot at the rim or an open three can matter more than another difficult jumper.
The shooting comparison is 54.9% eFG for Golden State Warriors and 53.7% for Phoenix Suns. That measure counts the extra value of a made three. If the defense takes away the first good look, watch whether the offense can create another without rushing.
Ball security is the next pressure point. Golden State Warriors turn it over on an estimated 13.3% of plays; Phoenix Suns are at 12.0%. Fewer wasted trips mean more chances to score and fewer easy chances going the other way.
After the shot, watch the rebound. Then watch which team earns free throws. Extra shots and trips to the line can keep an offense moving when the shooting cools. The season columns give the baseline; the game columns in our final breakdown will show which advantages actually held up.
Spreads and win probabilities are reserved for confirmed games within the next seven days. This game stays on the schedule; its forecast opens inside that window.
Last season 37-45 | 10th in the West | Play-In exit, missed playoffs
2025-26 efficiency 113.8 offense | 114.4 defense | -0.5 net per 100 possessions
Golden State finished tenth at 37-45 and lost in the Play-In. Its minus-0.5 net rating showed a team close to average, but not close to the West's top tier. Injuries reduced Stephen Curry and Jimmy Butler's shared contribution, leaving too many nights when the offense lacked enough reliable creation beyond Curry.
Mike Dunleavy Jr. retained the veteran core, drafted Yaxel Lendeborg and added Georges Niang. Lendeborg supplies size and energy, while Niang can stretch a defense. Brandin Podziemski's stronger finish last season gives the returning guards a plausible improvement path. But Kristaps Porzingis entered camp out indefinitely with a health issue, while Butler and Moses Moody continue knee rehabilitation.
The concern is availability concentrated in the very players expected to lift the ceiling. A healthy Porzingis changes spacing and rim protection. A healthy Butler supplies another creator and foul pressure. Management has not built a similarly dependable alternative if those contributions arrive late or remain intermittent. Lendeborg can help immediately, but a rookie should not be the primary insurance policy for an aging team's largest risks.
Projected finish is tenth in the West. Curry keeps Golden State competitive, and the later-season roster could be stronger than its place. We still discount a forecast that requires everyone to be healthy together for the first time. The Warriors need enough early wins to make a better spring lineup relevant, rather than another explanation for why it arrived too late.
Last season 45-37 | 7th in the West | First-round loss to Oklahoma City, 4-0
2025-26 efficiency 114.2 offense | 112.9 defense | +1.4 net per 100 possessions
Phoenix finished seventh with 45 wins and reached the playoffs through the Play-In before Oklahoma City swept it. Jordan Ott's first season produced a ninth-ranked defense after the prior year's collapse. The Suns also created extra shot opportunities through offensive rebounding and forced turnovers. That explains why a merely average offensive efficiency profile still supported a winning record.
Brian Gregory traded Grayson Allen and Royce O'Neale for Miles Bridges and added Luke Kennard. Bridges brings another scoring forward, and Kennard replaces part of the departing shooting. Phoenix retained Collin Gillespie and other useful contributors around Devin Booker. Gillespie's continued production matters more now that Allen and O'Neale's spacing is gone.
The largest immediate concern is at center. Mark Williams' shoulder surgery leaves a substantial absence with no official return timetable, putting more responsibility on Khaman Maluach and Oso Ighodaro. Adding Bridges does not replace a starting center or guarantee that the defensive gains survive. Management has changed the offensive mix, but the remaining roster still needs stronger finishing and enough size to keep its possession advantage against good teams.
Projected finish is eighth in the West. Booker and Ott give Phoenix a credible floor, but a repeat of 45 wins requires the young centers to contribute sooner. We expect a Play-In team rather than a dramatic rise. The important evidence will be whether the Suns keep generating extra chances while improving the value of the first shot.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
