ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
The team numbers
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|
| STANDARD STATS |
|---|
| Points / game | 117.8 | 8 / 30 |
|---|
| Rebounds / game | 45.6 | 8 / 30 |
|---|
| Assists / game | 27.8 | 11 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnovers / game | 14.2 | 20 / 30 |
|---|
| Steals / game | 10.4 | 1 / 30 |
|---|
| Blocks / game | 6.4 | 1 / 30 |
|---|
| FG% | 48.5% | 3 / 30 |
|---|
| 3PT% | 35.6% | 17 / 30 |
|---|
| FT% | 76.3% | 27 / 30 |
|---|
| THE LAB MEASURES |
|---|
| eFG% | 54.6% | 15 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnover rate | 12.3% | 17 / 30 |
|---|
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
|---|
| Free-throw pressure | 0.292 | 5 / 30 |
|---|
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|
| STANDARD STATS |
|---|
| Points / game | 118.0 | 7 / 30 |
|---|
| Rebounds / game | 44.1 | 13 / 30 |
|---|
| Assists / game | 26.1 | 16 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnovers / game | 14.1 | 19 / 30 |
|---|
| Steals / game | 8.7 | 12 / 30 |
|---|
| Blocks / game | 5.8 | 2 / 30 |
|---|
| FG% | 48.1% | 9 / 30 |
|---|
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 6 / 30 |
|---|
| FT% | 75.2% | 29 / 30 |
|---|
| THE LAB MEASURES |
|---|
| eFG% | 55.9% | 6 / 30 |
|---|
| Turnover rate | 12.4% | 18 / 30 |
|---|
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
|---|
| Free-throw pressure | 0.285 | 7 / 30 |
|---|
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
How we read the Lab measures
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
THE LAB READHow this game can be won
This is preseason. Use the team numbers as background and watch how the new lineups play together. No spread or Lab win probability is published for this game.
Detroit Pistons · our 2026-10-03 assessment
Detroit Pistons
Last season 60-22 | 1st in the East | Lost in conference semifinals
2025-26 efficiency 117.3 offense | 108.9 defense | +8.4 net per 100 possessions
Detroit won 60 games, finished first in the East and lost a home Game 7 to Cleveland in the second round. Its plus-8.4 net rating supported the regular-season achievement. The Pistons dominated the paint, but a narrow first-round escape against Orlando and the subsequent exit showed why that advantage did not solve every half-court possession.
Trajan Langdon added Isaiah Joe, John Collins and Taurean Prince, while Tobias Harris, Isaiah Stewart and Caris LeVert departed. Joe directly addresses a real weakness after Detroit finished 28th in made threes. Jalen Duren's reported agreement on a five-year, $200 million contract resolves the camp holdout and keeps the core intact. Cade Cunningham and Ausar Thompson remain central to the team's identity.
The unresolved issue is a second dependable creator when opponents load up on Cunningham. Joe changes the spacing, but does not replace Harris' ability to create a shot. Stewart's exit also removes defensive frontcourt minutes. Duren and Thompson can produce enormous physical advantages together, yet neither routinely pulls a defender away from the paint. Management improved the surrounding shooting without completely removing the underlying geometry problem.
Projected finish is fifth in the East. That is a forecast of a stronger conference and a reworked rotation, not a dismissal of 60 wins. Detroit should remain difficult to beat. The more meaningful improvement would be a reliable half-court answer that survives a playoff series, even if the regular-season record falls.
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Minnesota Timberwolves · our 2026-10-03 assessment
Minnesota Timberwolves
Last season 49-33 | 6th in the West | Conference semifinals loss to San Antonio, 4-2
2025-26 efficiency 115.6 offense | 112.5 defense | +3.1 net per 100 possessions
Minnesota finished sixth at 49-33, eliminated Denver and lost to San Antonio in six games. Its eighth-ranked defense was a more established advantage than its 13th-ranked offense. Anthony Edwards could produce difficult baskets, but the roster needed another creator who could give him more possessions that began with an advantage.
Tim Connelly acquired LaMelo Ball and Jonathan Kuminga while moving Julius Randle, Naz Reid and Mike Conley. Ball can initiate the offense and find Edwards away from the ball. That matters because Edwards made 49.6 percent of his catch-and-shoot threes last season, although the sample was 139 attempts. Kuminga supplies athleticism at forward and an opportunity to build a more defined role.
The concern is what Minnesota traded away from the frontcourt. Randle supplied regular-season scoring and Reid supplied flexible big-man minutes. Rudy Gobert remains essential to the paint defense, and the new roster has less room for him to miss time or lose effectiveness. Ball's availability and defensive fit also matter. Connelly improved creation, but left the replacement of dependable size partly to development and smaller combinations.
Projected finish is fifth in the West. We credit the new offensive partnership while leaving room for the fit to settle. Minnesota has a higher playoff ceiling than that place might suggest if Ball stays available and Edwards gets easier shots. The regular-season projection is more cautious because thinner frontcourt depth can cost ordinary games long before the best lineup is ready.
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