2026-10-11 · 5:00 AM CT · Preseason · neutral site · NBA China Game
Dallas Mavericks26-56
Houston Rockets52-30ESPN standings data retrieved October 6, 2026. NBA comparisons use the completed 2025–26 regular season. Each upcoming fixture labels preseason or regular-season status.
Dallas Mavericks2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 114.1 | 23 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 44.7 | 10 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.3 | 22 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 14.0 | 18 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 7.5 | 24 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.2 | 10 / 30 |
| FG% | 46.6% | 19 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 34.4% | 26 / 30 |
| FT% | 75.5% | 28 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 52.7% | 28 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.1% | 14 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.287 | 6 / 30 |
Houston Rockets2025–26 regular season
| Measure | Season average | League rank |
|---|---|---|
| STANDARD STATS | ||
| Points / game | 115.2 | 18 / 30 |
| Rebounds / game | 48.1 | 1 / 30 |
| Assists / game | 25.4 | 21 / 30 |
| Turnovers / game | 14.4 | 21 / 30 |
| Steals / game | 8.5 | 14 / 30 |
| Blocks / game | 5.8 | 3 / 30 |
| FG% | 47.9% | 10 / 30 |
| 3PT% | 36.4% | 10 / 30 |
| FT% | 76.3% | 25 / 30 |
| THE LAB MEASURES | ||
| eFG% | 54.2% | 17 / 30 |
| Turnover rate | 12.6% | 20 / 30 |
| Offensive rebound rate | — | — |
| Free-throw pressure | 0.260 | 18 / 30 |
ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. NBA season averages and ranks use 2025–26; preseason game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
This is preseason. Use the team numbers as background and watch how the new lineups play together. No spread or Lab win probability is published for this game.
Last season 26-56 | 12th in the West | Missed postseason, Flagg won Rookie of the Year
2025-26 efficiency 110.3 offense | 115.5 defense | -5.2 net per 100 possessions
Dallas finished 12th at 26-56, but Cooper Flagg's Rookie of the Year season supplied a clear direction. The team ranked 27th offensively, and its transition success concealed the league's worst half-court efficiency. Running faster could produce good stretches. It could not solve the possessions that began against an organized defense.
Masai Ujiri took over the basketball operation and hired Dusty May. Santi Aldama, Zaccharie Risacher and Marcus Sasser give the roster younger supporting options, and Kyrie Irving returns after missing a season. Irving is the clearest route to improving half-court creation without asking Flagg to manufacture every advantage himself. Aldama can also help make the frontcourt easier to space.
The unresolved question is whether management is building a coherent team around Flagg's development or preserving several competing timelines. Irving helps immediately, but his role and long-term place matter. Risacher needs to become a useful rotation wing, not simply a former first pick with another chance. May also has to find combinations that avoid crowding Flagg's drives. More pace cannot replace spacing when the opponent gets back.
Projected finish is 11th in the West. We expect an offensive improvement and a second-year step from Flagg, without assuming an immediate star leap large enough to erase every roster weakness. Dallas is a reasonable Play-In challenger if Irving's return goes well. A meaningful season would establish which players make Flagg more effective and belong in the next version of the team.
Last season 52-30 | 5th in the West | First-round loss to the Lakers, 4-2
2025-26 efficiency 117.5 offense | 112.1 defense | +5.4 net per 100 possessions
Houston's 52-30 season ended fifth in the West and with a six-game first-round loss to the Lakers. The underlying profile was stronger than that exit suggests. The Rockets posted a plus-5.4 net rating and captured 54.5 percent of available rebounds. Their physical advantages generated useful possessions, but the playoff offense still needed a more reliable way to organize them.
Rafael Stone added Marcus Smart and Bogdan Bogdanovic, retained Tari Eason and invested in Amen Thompson. Fred VanVleet's return supplies an experienced organizer after a lost season. Kevin Durant remains the established scorer, while Alperen Sengun, Thompson and Reed Sheppard provide realistic routes to internal improvement. Steven Adams returning would also restore a valuable part of the rebounding rotation.
The roster still asks opponents to respect several developing jump shots. Smart adds judgment and Bogdanovic adds shooting, but neither turns every large lineup into an easy half-court offense. Stone has addressed the problem with targeted additions and returning health. He has not removed the need for Thompson and the younger guards to improve. Houston also has to balance smaller guard minutes against the rebounding strength that helped it win.
Projected finish is fourth in the West. The two-way baseline and return of an actual offensive organizer give Houston a slight regular-season edge over Minnesota and Denver. A deeper playoff run will require cleaner first attempts, with fewer possessions depending on a rebound to become useful.
A matching published game video is not available in the verified archive yet.
