ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. WNBA season averages and ranks use the 2026 regular season; playoff game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.
How we read the Lab measures
eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.
The Lab’s result test
Atlanta Dream won by 10 points. Q3 supplied the largest scoring swing in the winner’s favor, a +17-points period. The chart shows the result’s path; the box score helps explain what created it.
The shooting test is New York Liberty at 51.5% eFG against Atlanta Dream at 52.1%. Effective field goal percentage includes the extra value of a made three. Compare it with turnover rate, offensive rebounds and free-throw pressure before assigning the result to shooting alone.
For the next playoff game, the adjustment has to address a specific possession problem. Shooting, ball security, second chances and trips to the line offer four separate tests; the final margin should not collapse them into one explanation.