THE MATCHUP LABTHE SCOREBOARD TELLS YOU WHO. WE TELL YOU WHY.▶ Watch
WNBA · PLAYOFF FINAL

New York Liberty 82 · Atlanta Dream 92

2026-10-04 · State Farm Arena

State Farm Arena · 2026-10-04

The final score was New York Liberty 82 · Atlanta Dream 92. The breakdown below uses this game’s figures, separate from season averages.

The scoring path

Cumulative points by quarter for New York Liberty and Atlanta DreamTHE MATCHUP LAB · SCORING TIMELINELibertyAWAY · FINAL82DreamHOME · FINAL92023466992STARTQ1Q2Q3Q4
Q1NY +3point differential in this period
Q3ATL +17point differential in this period
Q4NY +4point differential in this period
Quarter scoring
TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
New York Liberty2416152782
Atlanta Dream2116322392

The numbers behind this game

NY

New York Liberty

2026 regular season

82
MeasureSeason averageLeague rankThis game
STANDARD STATS
Points / game89.65 / 1582.0
Rebounds / game35.53 / 1534.0
Assists / game20.87 / 1517.0
Turnovers / game13.79 / 1521.0
Steals / game6.114 / 156.0
Blocks / game4.27 / 159.0
FG%46.0%6 / 1543.1%
3PT%34.8%4 / 1539.3%
FT%84.5%1 / 15100.0%
THE LAB MEASURES
eFG%53.6%4 / 1551.5%
Turnover rate15.2%10 / 1522.7%
Offensive rebound rate——21.9%
Free-throw pressure0.3077 / 150.231
ATL

Atlanta Dream

2026 regular season

92
MeasureSeason averageLeague rankThis game
STANDARD STATS
Points / game91.33 / 1592.0
Rebounds / game35.62 / 1534.0
Assists / game21.56 / 1520.0
Turnovers / game12.64 / 1513.0
Steals / game9.11 / 1514.0
Blocks / game3.314 / 154.0
FG%44.3%11 / 1545.1%
3PT%32.5%11 / 1538.5%
FT%78.6%10 / 1578.3%
THE LAB MEASURES
eFG%50.5%8 / 1552.1%
Turnover rate13.3%3 / 1513.8%
Offensive rebound rate——25.0%
Free-throw pressure0.3413 / 150.324

ESPN team totals and game box scores checked October 6. WNBA season averages and ranks use the 2026 regular season; playoff game results are shown separately. Ranks are within the league, with ties sharing a rank; a lower turnover rate is better. Season offensive rebound rate needs opponent defensive-rebound totals, which this feed does not supply. A dash means unavailable. This game’s offensive rebound rate uses the opponent’s actual rebounds.

How we read the Lab measures

eFG% gives a made three its extra value. Turnover rate estimates the share of plays lost before a shot. Offensive rebound rate is the share of available offensive rebounds collected. Free-throw pressure is FTA/FGA. The calculations are (FGM + 0.5 × 3PM)/FGA; TOV/(FGA + 0.44 × FTA + TOV); OREB/(OREB + opponent DREB); and FTA/FGA.

The Lab’s result test

Atlanta Dream won by 10 points. Q3 supplied the largest scoring swing in the winner’s favor, a +17-points period. The chart shows the result’s path; the box score helps explain what created it.

The shooting test is New York Liberty at 51.5% eFG against Atlanta Dream at 52.1%. Effective field goal percentage includes the extra value of a made three. Compare it with turnover rate, offensive rebounds and free-throw pressure before assigning the result to shooting alone.

For the next playoff game, the adjustment has to address a specific possession problem. Shooting, ball security, second chances and trips to the line offer four separate tests; the final margin should not collapse them into one explanation.

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